Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Gondomar		Amarante

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.75	2.05
	3.75	2.8	2.1
	3.63	2.77	2.06
	4.17	2.8	2.11
	3.89	2.79	2.01
	3.85	2.8	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.12)	2.79 ↑ (2.76)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gondomar
23.6%

Draw
32.5%

Amarante
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

33.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

35.1%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Amarante will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gondomar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.02.24	Rebordosa - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Gondomar - Paredes	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Marco 09 - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Gondomar - Oliveira do Douro	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Salgueiros 08 - Gondomar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTWL
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.02.24	Amarante - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Valadares Gaia - Amarante	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Amarante	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Amarante - Rebordosa	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Paredes - Amarante	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Amarante - Gondomar	0:0
30.01.21	Amarante - Gondomar	0:3
18.10.20	Gondomar - Amarante	3:0
11.08.18	Gondomar - Amarante	2:1

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