Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Florgrade		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	3	2.92	2.3
	3.14	2.8	2.23
	3.16	2.94	2.30	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.2
	3.22	2.88	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.95)	2.87 ↓ (3.01)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florgrade
28.8%

Draw
31.4%

Rebordosa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

30.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rebordosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Florgrade - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Rebordosa is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

Florgrade has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rebordosa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Florgrade won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Florgrade won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Florgrade	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Aparecida - Florgrade	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Florgrade - Resende	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Florgrade	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Florgrade - Beira-Mar	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Anadia - Florgrade	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWT
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Vila Real - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Vila Meã - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Rebordosa - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Resende - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.12.25	Rebordosa - Florgrade	1:0
18.02.24	Florgrade - Rebordosa	0:0
28.10.23	Rebordosa - Florgrade	2:0

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