The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amazonas 31.2%
Draw 30.6%
Botafogo PB 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
29.3%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
29.3%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amazonas's form might have worsened.
Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo PB's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amazonas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo PB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amazonas - Botafogo PB Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Joao Lopes (G) 22. Carlinhos 14. Diego Ivo (C) 2. Iury 4. Jonas 17. Kauan Firmo 3. Marcondes 5. Panzariello I. 10. Rafael Tavares 9. Ronaldo 20. Schiappacasse N.
27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 7. Dudu Hatamoto 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 15. Kayon 22. Leo Pereira 10. Nene (C) 6. Patric Calmon 4. Saimon
Substitutes
18. Abbade L. 12. Axel Lopes (G) 33. Bernardo Daciolo 19. Castro P. 21. Graffin A. 16. Leo Guerra 15. Raylison Pacheco 11. Vinicius Leite
16. Bull 11. Diego Tavares 12. Erick 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 9. Henrique Dourado 17. Jonas Toro 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 28. Lucas Candido 35. Octavio 20. Thallyson
Coaches
Rodrigo Santana
Fernandes M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Jhonata Varela ↓, Lucas Candido ↑,
19', Jonas ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
22', Igor Morais 🟨,
32', Saimon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carlinhos ↓, Bernardo Daciolo ↑,
46', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
46', Igor Maduro ↓, Giovanni ↑,
66', Rafael Tavares ↓, Raylison Pacheco ↑,
81', Kayon ↓, Thallyson ↑,
81', Patric Calmon ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
83', Ronaldo 🟨,
88', Ronaldo ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
88', Leo Guerra ↓, Graffin A. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
Amazonas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Botafogo PB is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).