The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo PB 45.7%
Draw 29%
Santa Cruz Recife 25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
31.2%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Botafogo PB have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Santa Cruz Recife have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 4th and 1st in the Promotion - Serie B).
Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie B.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Botafogo PB (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Santa Cruz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Botafogo PB is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:19 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo PB against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now
Santa Cruz: 41.91%
Last Results with these Odds
Botafogo PB - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Santa Cruz Recife - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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