The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo PB 34%
Draw 30.3%
Santa Cruz Recife 35.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.7%
29%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
31.2%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo PB's form might have worsened.
Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Cruz Recife's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo PB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Cruz Recife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Cruz (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Santa Cruz (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Cruz (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Leandro Mathias (G) 77. Bastos R. 16. Bull 25. Caio Garcia 11. Diego Tavares 15. Kayon 22. Leo Pereira 10. Nene (C) 35. Octavio 4. Saimon 20. Thallyson
1. Thiago Coelho (G) 27. Edson Miranda 28. Eron 37. Everaldo 13. Matheus Vinicius 5. Pedro Favela 19. Renato 17. Ronald 26. Silva 4. William Alves (C) 18. Willian Junior
Substitutes
30. Alves L. M. 84. Deivid 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 34. Edilson (G) 12. Erick 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 14. Igor Morais 33. Julio Vaz 28. Lucas Candido 6. Patric Calmon
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 4th and 1st in the Promotion - Serie B).
Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie B.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Botafogo PB (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Santa Cruz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:19 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo PB against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Botafogo PB - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Santa Cruz Recife - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Leandro Mathias (G) 
Deivid 
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