Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Volta Redonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Volta Redonda		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.92	2.92	Watch
	2.43	3.05	3.14
	2.43	3.05	3.02	Watch
	2.38	2.75	2.9
	2.34	2.93	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.28)	2.94 ↓ (3.05)	3 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
38.4%

Draw
31.1%

Caxias
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Volta Redonda - Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan 5. Bruno Barra (C) 6. Jean Victor 27. Kaua Souza 3. Lucas Adell 10. Luciano Naninho 7. Marquinhos 16. Pedro Costa 28. Rafael Furtado 17. Wagninho	1. Busatto G. (G) 5. Breno Santos 7. Calyson 2. Felipe Albuquerque 3. Ianson 10. Joao Lucas 8. Matheus Nunes 4. Mauricio Ribeiro (C) 6. Roberto 9. Salatiel 11. Vitor Feijao
Substitutes
19. Blanco O. 18. Caio Henrique 45. Deivity (G) 8. Dener 21. Du Fernandes 4. Fabricio 25. Juliano Fabro 22. Juninho Monteiro 30. Juninho Ramos 23. Matheus Moresche 14. Rafael Castro 26. Romarinho	18. Felipe Rangel 15. Grigor 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 17. Luis Miguel 14. Mancha 12. Marcelo (G) 22. Marcelo Freitas 21. Matheus Anjos 16. Victor Sa 20. Vitor Gabriel 13. Windson
Coaches
William De Mattia	Marcelo Cabo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Breno Santos 🟨,
45', Rafael Furtado 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Salatiel 🟨,
50', Mauricio Ribeiro 🟨,
53', Rafael Furtado ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
65', Kaua Souza ↓, Romarinho ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Blanco O. ⚽,
72', Vitor Feijao ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
72', Joao Lucas ↓, Marcelo Freitas ↑,
72', Breno Santos ↓, Matheus Anjos ↑,
77', Marquinhos ↓, Juninho ↑,
77', Luciano Naninho ↓, Dener ↑,
81', Calyson ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
81', Matheus Nunes ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
85', Ianson 🟨,
86', Jean Victor 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Volta Redonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Volta Redonda - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.72%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Volta Redonda - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Guarani - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Volta Redonda - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLW
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Avaí - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Caxias - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Brusque - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	América Mineiro - Caxias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.06.24	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0

Volta Redonda - Caxias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide