Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 5

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play


	Caxias		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.14	2.97	3.79
	2.11	2.83	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2.06	3.3	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.14)	3.05 ↑ (2.91)	3.61 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
44.5%

Draw
30.1%

Volta Redonda
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Caxias - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Busatto G. (G) 7. Calyson 9. Gaspar 5. Grigor 8. Marcelo Freitas 10. Matheus Anjos 4. Mauricio Ribeiro 3. Morales 6. Victor Sa 11. Vitor Feijao 2. Vitor Gabriel	1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 5. Bruno Barra 8. Dener 22. Juninho Monteiro 27. Kaua Souza 3. Lucas Adell 10. Luciano Naninho 7. Marquinhos 16. Pedro Costa
Substitutes
15. Breno Santos 20. Felipe Rangel 14. Ianson 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 21. Joao Lucas 17. Luis Miguel 12. Marcelo (G) 22. Matheus Nunes 23. Ravanelli 16. Roberto 18. Salatiel 13. Windson	29. Caetano 18. Caio Henrique 4. Fabricio 31. Guilherme Nunes (G) 25. Juliano Fabro 30. Juninho Ramos 23. Matheus Moresche 14. Rafael Castro 26. Romarinho 28. Zuniga Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lucas Adell ↓, Fabricio ↑,
55', Vitor Feijao ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
55', Matheus Anjos ↓, Salatiel ↑,
60', Mauricio Ribeiro 🟨,
68', Pedro Costa ↓, Juninho Ramos ↑,
69', Bruno Barra ↓, Rafael Castro ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Salatiel ⚽,
77', Rafael Castro 🟨,
78', Luciano Naninho ↓, Juliano Fabro ↑,
80', Calyson ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
81', Marcelo Freitas ↓, Breno Santos ↑,
86', Gaspar ↓, Roberto ↑,
87', Blanco O. ↓, Matheus Moresche ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Jhonatan Ribeiro ⚽,
90', Rafael Castro 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Volta Redonda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Caxias is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.26	Caxias - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Avaí - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Caxias - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Maranhão - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Volta Redonda - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.26	Guarani - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
18.04.26	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0
23.06.24	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0

Caxias - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide