Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 2

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Caxias		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.15	5.15	Watch
	1.7	3.25	6.08
	1.88	2.9	5.16	Watch
	1.67	3	5
	1.71	3.32	5.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)	3.12 ↑ (2.8)	5.37 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
53.4%

Draw
29.4%

Confiança
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

32.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

31.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caxias's performance.

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caxias - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Busatto G. (G) 5. Breno Santos 7. Calyson 2. Felipe Albuquerque 3. Ianson 10. Joao Lucas 11. Luis Miguel 8. Matheus Nunes 4. Mauricio Ribeiro (C) 6. Roberto 9. Salatiel	1. Rafael Pascoal (C) 11. Danielzinho 4. Eduardo Moura 8. Gabriel Zeca 9. Joao Pedro 3. Lucas Cunha 6. Matheus Juliao 7. Paulo Henrique 10. PK 13. Renilson 2. Weriton
Substitutes
18. Felipe Rangel 15. Grigor 19. Jhonatan Ribeiro 23. Luis Fernando 12. Marcelo (G) 22. Marcelo Freitas 21. Matheus Anjos 14. Moraes 16. Victor Sa 17. Vitor Feijao 20. Vitor Gabriel 13. Windson	21. Andrey Quintino 17. Breiner C. 16. Fabricio 14. Icaro 5. Lorran 15. Marcelo 12. Matheus Silva (G) 99. Sassa 19. Wendel
Coaches
Marcelo Cabo	Cacapa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', 🟨,
7', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
34', Breno Santos 🟨,
42', Joao Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Joao Pedro ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
61', Joao Lucas ↓, Matheus Anjos ↑,
61', Matheus Nunes ↓, Vitor Feijao ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Salatiel ⚽,
69', 🟨,
71', Breno Santos ↓, Grigor ↑,
71', Calyson ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
72', Matheus Juliao ↓, Fabricio ↑,
72', Danielzinho ↓, Marcelo ↑,
84', Fabricio 🟨,
87', Weriton 🟨,
89', Gabriel Zeca ↓, Wendel ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Confiança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caxias is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Caxias - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Brusque - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	América Mineiro - Caxias	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Caxias - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.04.26	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.04.26	Confiança - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Confiança - Fluminense Piaui	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Sousa - Confiança	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
20.04.25	Confiança - Caxias	2:1
31.07.24	Caxias - Confiança	1:0

Caxias - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide