Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 33

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Filho A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Amazonas		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.65	Watch
	3.45	2.98	2.22
	2.92	2.97	2.77
	2.73	2.82	2.87	Watch
	3.44	2.96	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.92	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.93 ↑ (2.92)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
30.7%

Draw
32.1%

Grêmio Novorizontino
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

31.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Amazonas - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Renan (G) 30. Castrillon N. 14. Ivan Alvarino 3. Leo Coelho 6. Fabiano 55. Philippe Guimaraes 26. Gabriel Domingos 21. Erick Varao 29. Torres D. 19. Henrique Almeida (C) 7. Ramirez K.	1. Airton (G) 2. Rodrigo Soares (C) 37. Cesar Martins 4. Patrick 77. Mayk 5. Jean Irmer 47. Fabio Matheus 10. Matheus Frizzo 30. Waguininho 11. Robson 17. Bruno Jose
Substitutes
15. Akapo C. 17. Guilherme Xavier 8. Kiko 9. Luan Silva 35. Rafael Monteiro 10. Rafael Tavares 93. Rafael Vitor 77. Robertinho 11. Torres J. 5. Vasquez L. 20. William Barbio 1. Ze Carlos (G)	20. Airton 26. Dantas 93. Jordi (G) 19. Leo Tocantins 9. Lucca 7. Pablo Dyego 3. Rafael Donato 25. Romulo 22. Ruiz O. 15. Tavinho 8. Willian Farias
Coaches
Marcio Zanardi	Moreira E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Jean Irmer 🟨,
57', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Torres J. ↑,
62', Erick Varao 🟨,
63', Jean Irmer ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
63', Bruno Jose ↓, Airton ↑,
69', Erick Varao ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
69', Philippe Guimaraes ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
73', Willian Farias 🟨,
83', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Lucca ↑,
83', Robson ↓, Tavinho ↑,
84', Ramirez K. ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
84', Castrillon N. ↓, Rafael Vitor ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Amazonas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Novorizontino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Novorizontino might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Amazonas: Akapo C. (International duty) Alyson (Inactive) Fernando Neto (Inactive) Iverton (Inactive) William Barbio (Inactive)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Cesar Martins (Yellow Cards) Luis Oyama (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Inactive) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Gabriel Domingos (Inactive) Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Henrique Almeida (Inactive) Thomas Luciano (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Amazonas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.25	Vila Nova - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
07.10.25	Amazonas - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Athletic Club - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Amazonas - Chapecoense	1:3 ✺
24.09.25	Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
12.10.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
08.10.25	Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Amazonas	1:1
04.10.24	Amazonas - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
18.06.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Amazonas	1:1

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