Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 30

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Athletic Club		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.4
	1.82	3.3	4.35
	1.83	3.59	4.73
	1.31	4.63	11.15	Watch
	1.84	3.3	4.4	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 (1.74)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)	5.42 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
55.2%

Draw
27.1%

Amazonas
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.8%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Athletic Club - Amazonas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Amazonas (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Athletic (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Amazonas (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 3 - 60%). Amazonas (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adriel (G) 2. Douglas Pele 43. Marcelo Ajul 4. Sidimar (C) 6. Yuri 14. Fabricio Isidoro 38. Sandry 23. Luiz Filipe 10. David Braga 7. Welinton Torrao 21. Tavares R.	1. Ze Carlos (G) 29. Torres D. 30. Castrillon N. 3. Leo Coelho 35. Rafael Monteiro 5. Vasquez L. 14. Ivan Alvarino 17. Guilherme Xavier 26. Gabriel Domingos 7. Ramirez K. 19. Henrique Almeida (C)
Substitutes
27. Alason Carioca 8. Chico Geraldes 17. Da Cruz A. 70. Eduardo Freire (G) 47. Guilherme Cachoeira 15. Indio G. 1. Jefferson Luis (G) 13. Jhonatan Silva 28. Kauan Lindes 19. Neto Costa 84. Rodrigo Gelado 52. Wesley Gasolina	15. Akapo C. 21. Erick Varao 4. Iverton 27. Kiko 9. Luan Silva 33. Pedro Caracoci (G) 55. Philippe Guimaraes 10. Rafael Tavares 57. Rafael Vitor 8. Rodriguez A. 11. Torres J. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Rojas R.	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, David Braga ⚽, Tavares R. (A),
30', Pedro Caracoci 🟨,
39', Rafael Monteiro 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Henrique Almeida ⚽, Leo Coelho (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Akapo C. ↑,
46', Yuri ↓, Rodrigo Gelado ↑,
46', Ramirez K. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Leo Coelho ⚽, Torres J. (A),
58', 2 - 2, Sidimar ⚽,
60', Luiz Filipe ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
62', Akapo C. 🟨,
67', Vasquez L. ↓, Philippe Guimaraes ↑,
68', Tavares R. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
72', Rodrigo Gelado 🟨,
75', Torres D. ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
77', David Braga ↓, Chico Geraldes ↑,
77', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
81', Henrique Almeida ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+2', Ramirez K. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Athletic is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive)

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Fernando Neto (Inactive) Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Renan (Inactive) William Barbio (Inactive)

There are questionable in Athletic: Joao Miguel (Injury) Max (Inactive) Sandry (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Fabiano (Injury) Rafael Tavares (Injury) Thomas Luciano (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.25	Cuiabá - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Athletic Club - Athletico Paranaense	0:3 ✺
19.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Vila Nova - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWT
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.25	Amazonas - Chapecoense	1:3 ✺
24.09.25	Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Amazonas - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	CRB Maceio - Amazonas	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Amazonas - Remo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.06.25	Amazonas - Athletic Club	1:0

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