The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 54.3%
Draw 28.1%
Amazonas 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
27.8%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
26.1%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
Vila Nova - Amazonas Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Amazonas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Amazonas (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vila Nova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Amazonas (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Halls (G) 2. Elias 3. Tiago Pagnussat (C) 4. Pedro Romano 13. Willian Formiga 27. Igor Henrique 5. Joao Vieira 17. Jean Mota 29. Junior Todinho 9. Gabriel Poveda 77. Guilherme Parede
33. Renan (G) 30. Castrillon N. 3. Leo Coelho 14. Ivan Alvarino 6. Fabiano (C) 21. Erick Varao 55. Philippe Guimaraes 11. Torres J. 10. Rafael Tavares 29. Torres D. 9. Luan Silva
17. Guilherme Xavier 1. Joao Lopes (G) 26. Kiko 20. Linares N. 35. Rafael Monteiro 93. Rafael Vitor 77. Robertinho 57. Rojas H. 5. Vasquez L. 8. Vitao 22. Zabala D. 25. Ze Carlos (G)
Coaches
Umberto Louzer
Marcio Zanardi
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Philippe Guimaraes 🟨,
44', Willian Formiga 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Philippe Guimaraes ↓, Vasquez L. ↑,
46', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
50', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
61', Rafael Tavares ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
64', Guilherme Parede ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
64', Jean Mota ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
69', Vasquez L. 🟨,
73', Emerson Urso 🟨,
76', Luan Silva ↓, Kiko ↑,
76', Torres D. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
85', Willian Formiga ↓, Dodo ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Pedro Romano ⚽, Dodo (A),
90+2', Erick Varao ↓, Vitao ↑,
90+2', Joao Vieira ↓, Ralf ↑,
90+5', Ralf 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Vila Nova is the team to beat.
There will not play in Vila Nova: Andre Luis
(Yellow Cards)
Arilson
(Inactive)
Emerson Urso
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Miticov
(Inactive)
Walisson Maia
(Red Card)
There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson
(Inactive)
Fernando Neto
(Inactive)
Gabriel Domingos
(Yellow Cards)
Ramirez K.
(Yellow Cards)
Renan
(Inactive)
William Barbio
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Amazonas: Gabriel Novaes
(Inactive)
Ramirez K.
(Injury)
Thomas Luciano
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Brazil
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Halls (G) 
Castrillon N. 
Ivan Alvarino 
Torres D. 
Zabala D. 
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