Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 4

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Augusto V. C. M. (Bra)


	Amazonas		Santos

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.67	Watch
	5	3.4	1.66
	5.5	3.5	1.66
	5.93	3.7	1.7
	5.87	3.6	1.68
	5.5	3.5	1.65
	5.41	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5.2	3.5	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (3.97)	3.55 ↑ (3.26)	1.67 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
17.1%

Draw
26.5%

Santos
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

28.5%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

27.9%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amazonas's form might have worsened.

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amazonas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Amazonas - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcao (G) 2. Patric (C) 3. Miranda 4. Diogo Silva 6. Fabiano 15. Wendell 9. Jo 17. Guilherme Xavier 25. Matheus Serafim 22. Enio 10. Rafael Tavares	1. Joao Paulo (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 2. Alex Nascimento 6. Joaquim 31. Escobar G. 22. Otero R. 21. Diego Pituca (C) 5. Joao Schmidt 11. Guilherme 20. Giuliano 30. Morelos A.
Substitutes
8. Diego Torres 1. Edson Mardden (G) 13. Ezequiel 27. Igor Bolt 18. Juda Aguiar da Silva 26. Matheusinho 23. Nunes Coelho W. 20. Para 21. Renan Castro 11. Rubens 14. Thiago Spice 19. William Barbio	36. Cazares 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 3. Hayner 32. Jair 15. Nonato 88. Patrick 34. Pedro J. 8. Rincon T. 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 37. Serginho 42. Weslley Patati 27. Willian Bigode
Coaches
Adilson Batista	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Enio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wendell ↓, Para ↑,
46', Otero R. ↓, Patrick ↑,
46', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
46', Joao Schmidt ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
57', Rafael Tavares ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
63', Giuliano ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
64', Jo 🟨,
66', Jo ↓, Rubens ↑,
77', Joaquim ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
77', Enio ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
78', Matheus Serafim ↓, William Barbio ↑,

Preview

Amazonas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santos is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
06.05.24	Ponte Preta - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Flamengo - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.24	CRB Maceio - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Amazonas - Sport Recife	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
14.04.24	Amazonas - Manaus	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTLL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
06.05.24	Santos - Guarani	4:1 ✺
26.04.24	Avaí - Santos	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Santos - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.04.24	Palmeiras - Santos	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Santos - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW

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