Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, SporTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	DAZN, DSports 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
South-america	DGO Latin America
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 2
World	OneFootball TV


	Palmeiras		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.46	4	7
	1.46	3.90	6.00
	1.5	3.85	5.9	Watch
	1.55	4.03	7.17
	1.52	3.96	6.99	Watch
	1.49	3.9	7.05
	1.53	3.95	6.87	Watch
	1.49	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	3.95 ↓ (3.98)	6.67 ↑ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
62.3%

Draw
23.7%

Santos
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

23.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

23.3%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palmeiras - Santos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 26. Murilo 15. Gomez G. (C) 22. Piquerez J. 11. Arias J. 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 18. Mauricio 42. Lopez J. 9. Vitor Roque	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 4. Lucas Verissimo (C) 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 48. Gustavo Henrique 15. Willian Arao 5. Joao Schmidt 22. Barreal A. 32. Rollheiser B. 17. Caballero G.
Substitutes
56. Arthur Gabriel 2. Barboza A. 3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 39. Heittor Vinicius 12. Khellven 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 37. Riquelme Fillipi	27. Fernandes D. 9. Gabriel Barbosa 8. Gabriel Bontempo 26. Joao Ananias 34. Joao Paulo (G) 30. Miguelito 21. Moises 28. Oliva C. 81. Pierri S. 38. Rafael Gonzaga 11. Rony 16. Thaciano
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Caballero G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
45', 2 - 0, Andreas Pereira ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rollheiser B. ↓, Rony ↑,
46', Joao Schmidt ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
46', Caballero G. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
46', Gomez G. ↓, Barboza A. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Giay A. (A),
66', Igor Vinicius ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
69', Lucas Verissimo ↓, Oliva C. ↑,
75', Vitor Roque ↓, Heittor Vinicius ↑,
77', Andreas Pereira 🟨,
79', Rony 🟨,
82', Lopez J. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
83', Marlon Freitas ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
86', Arias J. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
90+1', Barboza A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Palmeiras is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Jefte (Knee Injury) Piquerez J. (Foot Injury) Sosa R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Menino (Injury) Lucas Verissimo (Calf Injury) Vinicius Lira (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Palmeiras: Paulinho (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:10. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.08.26	Fluminense - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLTT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Santos - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Deportivo Macará - Santos	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Santos	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Santos - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Santos - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Palmeiras - Santos	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.01.26	Palmeiras - Santos	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
15.11.25	Santos - Palmeiras	1:0
06.11.25	Palmeiras - Santos	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.01.25	Santos - Palmeiras	1:2
07.04.24	Palmeiras - Santos	2:0
31.03.24	Santos - Palmeiras	1:0

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