Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 1

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Horn L. (Bra)


	Santos		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	7.5
	1.36	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.48	9.05
	1.41	4.48	9.05
	1.35	4.5	8.5
	1.38	4.5	8.4
	1.39	4.4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)	4.46 ↓ (5.03)	8.34 ↓ (9.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santos
67.8%

Draw
21%

Paysandu
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

18.6%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

18.2%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Santos - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Paulo (G) 13. Aderlan 4. Gil 6. Joaquim 3. Hayner 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca (C) 20. Giuliano 22. Romulo Otero 18. Monteiro E. 11. Guilherme	13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 2. Edilson 4. Wanderson 3. Quintana Y. 21. Bryan 8. Joao Vieira 28. Leandro Vilela 20. Robinho (C) 18. Edinho 11. Nicolas 22. Jean Dias
Substitutes
36. Cazares 44. Chermont J. P. 12. Diogenes (G) 9. Furch J. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 2. Nascimento A. 15. Nonato 7. Pedrinho 8. Rincon T. 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 17. Vinicius Balieiro 42. Weslley Patati	23. Carlao 32. Crystopher 12. Diogo Silva (G) 6. Gabriel Bispo 19. Gabriel Santos 15. Garcia E. 36. Kevyn 35. Luan Freitas 16. Michel Macedo 26. Ruan Ribeiro 30. Val Soares
Coaches
Fabio Carille	dos Anjos H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Bryan 🟨,
24', Robinho ↓, Val Soares ↑,
26', Quintana Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aderlan ↓, Chermont J. P. ↑,
46', Hayner ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
60', Romulo Otero ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
60', Monteiro E. ↓, Furch J. ↑,
66', dos Anjos H. 🟨,
67', Leandro Vilela ↓, Gabriel Bispo ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Pedrinho ⚽,
75', Jean Dias ↓, Gabriel Santos ↑,
76', Edilson ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
76', Edinho ↓, Michel Macedo ↑,
84', Michel Macedo 🟨,
88', Giuliano ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Guilherme ⚽,
90+6', Rincon T. 🟨,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Santos have a series of home games.

In this match Santos is certain favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Alison (Injury) Sandry (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Santos to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.04.24	Palmeiras - Santos	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Santos - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
27.03.24	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Santos - Portuguesa	1:0 penalties ✺
09.03.24	Santos - Internacional de Limeira	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWW
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
14.04.24	Paysandu - Remo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
10.04.24	Remo - Paysandu	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
07.04.24	Remo - Paysandu	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
03.04.24	Paysandu - Remo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
30.03.24	Paysandu - Águia de Marabá	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
10.05.17	Paysandu - Santos	1:3
26.04.17	Santos - Paysandu	2:0

Upcoming Matches