Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 3

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Souza Silva E. (Bra)


	Ponte Preta		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.9
	2	3.1	4
	2.06	3.04	4.46
	2	3.1	3.9
	2.02	3.13	3.99
	2.01	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.76)	3.07 ↓ (3.5)	4.03 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
46.4%

Draw
30.4%

Amazonas
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta's form might have worsened.

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	50%	7.1%

Ponte Preta - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Igor Inocencio 23. Haquin L. 6. Sergio Raphael 33. Risso G. 5. Dudu Vieira 8. Emerson Santos 10. Elvis (C) 11. Iago Dias 35. Gabriel Novaes 77. Matheus Regis	1. Edson Mardden (G) 2. Patric 3. Ivan Alvarino 4. Diogo Silva 6. Renan Castro 18. Juda Aguiar da Silva 17. Guilherme Xavier 10. Matheusinho 11. Matheus Serafim 19. William Barbio 99. Sassa (C)
Substitutes
15. Castro 7. Dodo 3. Edson 18. Emerson Santos 17. Guilherme Belea 16. Jean Carlos 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 25. Lucas Buchecha 44. Nilson Junior 21. Ramon 98. Venicius 31. Ze Mario	9. Bruno Lopes 16. Cauan Barros 8. Diego Torres 22. Enio 13. Ezequiel 70. Igor Bolt 5. Jorge Jimenez 12. Marcao (G) 15. Miranda 20. Para 14. Thiago Spice
Coaches
Joao Brigatti	Adilson Batista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Gabriel Novaes ⚽,
27', Risso G. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Gabriel Novaes ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Renan Castro ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
46', William Barbio ↓, Enio ↑,
46', Juda Aguiar da Silva ↓, Para ↑,
46', Iago Dias ↓, Dodo ↑,
53', Matheus Serafim 🟨,
63', Gabriel Novaes ↓, Venicius ↑,
63', Matheus Regis ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
76', Emerson Santos ↓,
77', Matheus Serafim ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
81', Dudu Vieira ↓, Ramon ↑,
85', Sassa ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
88', Igor Inocencio 🟨,
90', Pedro Rocha 🟨,
90+3', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,
90+3', Jean Carlos 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Dodo ⚽,

Preview

Amazonas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ponte Preta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ponte Preta will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Gabriel Novaes (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.24	Goiás - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Ponte Preta - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.03.24	Palmeiras - Ponte Preta	5:1 ✺
10.03.24	Santo André - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLT
- Amazonas FC
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Flamengo - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.24	CRB Maceio - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Amazonas - Sport Recife	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
14.04.24	Amazonas - Manaus	1:2 penalties ✺
31.03.24	Amazonas - Parintins	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLLL

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