The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
America RJ 40.7%
Draw 33.1%
Americano Rio de Janeiro 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
31.8%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
32.5%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
America RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Americano Rio de Janeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for America RJ than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Americano Rio de Janeiro than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
America RJ - Americano Rio de Janeiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Americano is Qualified for Carioca 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, America RJ won 1.
America RJ is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Americano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
America RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, America RJ won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, America RJ won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).