Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 14

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	America SP		Taquaritinga

	1	X	2
	4.05	2.96	1.91
	4.06	2.96	1.92
	3.97	3.14	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (5.58)	3.02 ↓ (3.6)	1.91 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

America SP
22.5%

Draw
30%

Taquaritinga
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

25.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

24.5%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

America SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in America SP's performance.

Taquaritinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taquaritinga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for America SP than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with America SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taquaritinga than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taquaritinga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

America SP has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Taquaritinga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Taquaritinga is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Taquaritinga to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- America SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
20.03.24	Nacional SP - America SP	5:3 ✺
17.03.24	XV de Jaú - America SP	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	America SP - SKA Brasil	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Penapolense - America SP	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	America SP - VOCEM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CA Taquaritinga
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
20.03.24	Taquaritinga - Penapolense	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	União Barbarense - Taquaritinga	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Taquaritinga - Rio Branco de Americana	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Taquaritinga	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Taquaritinga - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWT

America SP - Taquaritinga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide