Match Info

Copa Rio - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Americano Rio de Janeiro		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.80	2.15
	3.6	2.68	2.18
	3.82	2.79	2.15
	1.52	3.64	6.80	Watch
	3.75	2.55	2.12
	3.63	3.21	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)	2.95 ↓ (3.01)	2.91 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Americano Rio de Janeiro
30.9%

Draw
34.3%

Portuguesa RJ
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

29%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Americano Rio de Janeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Americano Rio de Janeiro than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Americano Rio de Janeiro - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Americano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portuguesa RJ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Portuguesa RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Portuguesa RJ will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Americano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Portuguesa RJ - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Americano Rio de Janeiro
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
11.07.26	America RJ - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Resende - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Maricá	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
23.06.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Macaé	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.06.26	Pérolas Negras - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTWW
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.26	Portuguesa RJ - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	EC Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Portuguesa RJ - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Portuguesa - Portuguesa RJ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.12.19	Portuguesa RJ - Americano Rio de Janeiro	2:0
20.01.19	Portuguesa RJ - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:1

Americano Rio de Janeiro - Portuguesa RJ