Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Amiens		Nancy

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.15
	3.3	3.15	2.18
	3.4	3.24	2.17	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.32	3.32	2.14	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)	3.19 ↓ (3.33)	2.15 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
27.7%

Draw
29.1%

Nancy
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	40%	6.7%

Amiens - Nancy Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Nancy will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Amiens (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Amiens (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Amiens (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nancy (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 20. Kaiboue K. 44. Louis C. 27. Lutin R. 45. Fofana I. 15. Nduquidi J. 7. Hamache I. 14. Leautey A. 26. Ikia Dimi Y.	1. Basilio E. (G) 33. Tacafred E. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 17. Carlier M. 21. Mendy E. 19. Experience M. 23. Bamba R. 25. Gelin J. 6. Bouriaud T. 7. Fdaouch Z. 8. Bouabdelli W.
Substitutes
11. Averlant T. . Daf I. 18. Drame A. 12. Kandil N. 28. Lo A. 19. Rafii Y. 1. Sauvage A. (G) 17. Traore A.	35. Barbier H. 10. Dabasse A. 11. Evans J. 4. Fernandez N. 9. Guendez M. 12. Julloux A. 30. Lembet G. (G)
Coaches
Daf O.	Correa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Mendy E. ⚽, Gelin J. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Fdaouch Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Experience M. 🟨,
66', Experience M. ↓, Julloux A. ↑,
66', Hamache I. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
66', Lutin R. ↓, Averlant T. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Rafii Y. ⚽,
81', Bamba R. 🟨,
81', Bouriaud T. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
82', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
82', Bamba R. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
87', Evans J. 🟨,
88', Chabane A. ↓, Kandil N. ↑,
89', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
90+3', Nduquidi J. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
90+3', Louis C. ↓, Lo A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Nancy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Lo A. (Inactive) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Mlakar J. (Inactive) Monconduit T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C. (Injury) Kenzo N. (Injury) Maouassa F. (Injury) Sourzac M. (Arm Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Nancy: 1.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8:7	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Le Havre - Amiens	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Pau - Amiens	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Le Mans - Amiens	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Reims Sainte-Anne - Amiens	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.25	Amiens - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWLWL
- AS Nancy Lorraine
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Nancy - Clermont	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Grenoble - Nancy	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
28.11.25	Sarreguemines - Nancy	3:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.25	Saint-Étienne - Nancy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.10.25	Nancy - Amiens	0:1
12.03.22	Amiens - Nancy	1:0
Coupe De France
29.01.22	Nancy - Amiens	0:2
French Ligue 2
24.09.21	Nancy - Amiens	1:1
15.05.21	Nancy - Amiens	2:2
22.08.20	Amiens - Nancy	1:0
Club Friendly
21.07.17	Nancy - Amiens	1:0

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