Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 17

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Pau		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5	Watch
	1.5	4.35	5.3
	1.54	4.47	5.81
	1.51	4.49	5.56	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.58	4.09	5.25	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	4.23 ↓ (4.28)	5.35 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
60.8%

Draw
21.9%

Amiens
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

17%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	5.6%	27.8%

Pau - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Amiens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 97. Meddah D. 3. Kalulu J. 21. Beusnard S. 6. Fall C. 10. Versini G. 84. Touzghar R. 9. Dong K. 18. Sadik O.	40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 20. Kaiboue K. (C) 44. Louis C. 27. Lutin R. 45. Fofana I. 15. Nduquidi J. 7. Hamache I. 11. Averlant T. 26. Ikia Dimi Y.
Substitutes
14. Bobichon A. 23. Briancon A. 26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 7. Messi R. 40. Paradowski T. (G) 87. Zuliani E.	75. Abdelkrim I. 77. Daf I. 47. Drame A. 14. Leautey A. 19. Rafii Y. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 23. Traore A.
Coaches
Usai N.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Hamache I. ⚽, Lutin R. (A),
25', Ruiz J. 🟨,
29', Meddah D. 🟨,
31', Chabane A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Versini G. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Fall C. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
61', Dong K. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
70', Averlant T. ↓, Leautey A. ↑,
77', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
77', Versini G. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
81', Hamache I. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
83', Glossoa N. 🟨,
86', Bakayoko S. 🟨,
90+4', Raveyre N. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Kaiboue K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2.

In recent matches, Pau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Amiens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pau is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Mlakar J. (Inactive) Monconduit T. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pau: Versini G. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
06.12.25	Montpellier - Pau	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	SA Mérignac - Pau	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Pau - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Guingamp - Pau	2:2 ✺
03.11.25	Pau - Troyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLTT
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
05.12.25	Le Mans - Amiens	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Reims Sainte-Anne - Amiens	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.25	Amiens - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Clermont - Amiens	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Amiens - Grenoble	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.05.25	Amiens - Pau	4:2
25.10.24	Pau - Amiens	0:2
30.03.24	Amiens - Pau	2:3
30.09.23	Pau - Amiens	1:0
04.03.23	Amiens - Pau	1:0
05.11.22	Pau - Amiens	2:1
05.03.22	Pau - Amiens	2:1

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