The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amiens 43.9%
Draw 28.5%
Orleans 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
28.4%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
27.4%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Amiens - Orleans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Pandor Y. (G) 25. Genton E. 4. Mbala K. 12. Ribelin A. 3. Julloux A. 23. Herisse N. 8. Suljic C. 22. Boissier R. (C) 17. Giacomini A. 34. Diakite L. 26. Mbondi C.
1. Faham F. (G) 4. Balenga E. 24. Drame I. 5. Sylla M. 3. Ndicka Matam T. 8. Ba Abou 10. Khous G. 11. Berthier G. 23. Koembo J. 19. Legendre R. 25. Seydi I.
Substitutes
1. Delins V. (G) 6. Foll G. 28. Julien E. 33. Ramla I.
6. Aubourg H. 20. Dali-Amar B. 40. Moussima S. (G) 9. Prunier M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Diakite L. ⚽, Giacomini A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Koembo J. ↓, Prunier M. ↑,
46', Balenga E. ↓, Guiheneuf M. ↑,
57', Ba Abou ↓, Raillot L. ↑,
57', Seydi I. ↓, Dali-Amar B. ↑,
65', Ribelin A. ↓, Nuss A. ↑,
65', Boissier R. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
70', Diakite L. ↓, Sopromadze Z. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Colin M. ⚽, Mbondi C. (A),
76', Berthier G. ↓, Aubourg H. ↑,
85', Herisse N. ↓, Sinate D. ↑,
85', Mbondi C. ↓, Ramla I. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 1.
Amiens has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Orleans is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Amiens could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Amiens is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Amiens has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:9 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Amiens against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).