Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bastia		Amiens

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.10	3.25
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.27	3.3	3.52
	2.06	3.32	3.26	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.4
	2.16	2.95	3.37
	2.1	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.96)	3.13 ↓ (3.44)	3.34 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
43.2%

Draw
29.3%

Amiens
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Bastia - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Amiens will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Percin T. (G) 13. Melieres C. 2. Zilliox N. 20. Akueson G. 4. Roncaglia A. (C) 10. Zaouai A. 12. Belal L. 17. Eickmayer J. 23. Garnier E. 9. Tomi F. 7. Rodrigues C.	40. Pandor Y. (G) 4. Mbala K. 25. Genton E. 3. Julloux A. 19. Nuss A. 22. Boissier R. (C) 20. Llort L. 17. Giacomini A. 34. Diakite L. 26. Letono Mbondi C. 28. Julien E.
Substitutes
21. Bathily Y. 16. Contena S. (G) 25. Diarra D. 35. Douce N. 3. Makalou H. 28. Petrignani M.	9. Adelaide M. 15. Colin M. 1. Delins V. (G) 6. Foll G. 23. Herisse N. 33. Ramla I. 10. Sopromadze Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Boissier R. ⚽, Nuss A. (A),
17', Llort L. 🟨,
39', Akueson G. 🟨,
39', De Percin T. 🟨,
41', Roncaglia A. 🟨,
42', Letono Mbondi C. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Zilliox N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Letono Mbondi C. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
56', Julien E. ↓, Ramla I. ↑,
60', Akueson G. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Colin M. ⚽, Ramla I. (A),
64', Boissier R. 🟨,
66', Eickmayer J. 🟨,
72', Garnier E. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
73', Diakite L. ↓, Sopromadze Z. ↑,
73', Giacomini A. ↓, Foll G. ↑,
73', Zilliox N. ↓, Douce N. ↑,
79', Mbala K. ↓, Herisse N. ↑,
83', Eickmayer J. ↓, Petrignani M. ↑,
83', Zaouai A. ↓, Bathily Y. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bastia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Amiens	9	4	3	2	12:3	9	15
12	Bastia	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 3
27.08.26	Caen - Bastia	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	Bastia - Versailles	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Aubagne - Bastia	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Bastia - Le Puy	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Aubagne - Bastia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLT
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 3
29.08.26	Amiens - Versailles	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Le Puy - Amiens	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Amiens - La Roche VF	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Fleury 91 - Amiens	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Amiens - Red Star	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.04.26	Bastia - Amiens	1:1
12.09.25	Amiens - Bastia	0:0
17.01.25	Amiens - Bastia	1:0
23.08.24	Bastia - Amiens	1:0
03.05.24	Bastia - Amiens	1:2
19.08.23	Amiens - Bastia	2:1
29.04.23	Bastia - Amiens	1:1

Bastia - Amiens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide