Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Ammanford		Undy Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	5.4
	1.4	4.49	5.62
	1.46	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)	4.5 ↑ (4.44)	5.47 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
63.6%

Draw
20%

Undy Athletic
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

19.5%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

11.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Undy Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-26.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ammanford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Undy Athletic than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Undy Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Undy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Undy have a series of home games.

In this match Ammanford is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ammanford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
04.03.22	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Ammanford	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Cambrian United - Ammanford	3:0 ✺
28.01.22	Ammanford - Goytre United	0:1 ✺
21.01.22	Ammanford - Port Talbot Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Undy Athletic
Welsh Cymru South
05.03.22	Undy Athletic - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Undy Athletic - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
12.02.22	Undy Athletic - Risca United	1:2 ✺
28.01.22	Llanelli - Undy Athletic	2:3 ✺
22.01.22	Undy Athletic - Taffs Well AFC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
21.08.21	Undy Athletic - Ammanford	1:8

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