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Current Win Probability
Cambrian United 69.8%
Draw 17.9%
Ammanford 12.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.5%
18.9%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.7%
17.8%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Cambrian United - Ammanford Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Absalom K. (G) 9. Bonthron A. 40. Bright H. 10. Eason L. 6. John A. 5. Jones K. 18. Lewis K. 12. Strinati C. 7. Thomas F. 8. Woodford J. 31. Wright J.
80. Wright T. (G) 5. Bell C. 30. Case J. M. 6. Delaney M. 24. Evans J. 13. Hopkins J. 8. Orme A. (C) 22. Rowe H. 12. Sylvester L. 10. Thomas C. 2. Woodhouse S.
Substitutes
3. Birch D. 27. Driscoll C. 11. Edwards D. 21. Gill B. 20. Karadogan J. 13. Morgan M. (G) 14. Morris J.
17. Davies C. L. 26. Davies L. 19. Davies O. 7. John A. 20. Lloyd H. 25. Shirt C. 99. Williams O. (G)
Coaches
Williams L.
Thomas W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Case J. M. ⚽,
32', John A. 🟨,
42', Eason L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Bell C. 🟨,
47', Woodford J. 🟨,
48', Bell C. 🟨,
57', Bright H. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
57', Strinati C. ↓, Edwards D. ↑,
68', Jones K. 🟨,
69', Lewis K. ↓, Karadogan J. ↑,
71', Delaney M. 🟥,
73', Evans J. ↓, Davies C. L. ↑,
77', Karadogan J. ↓, Gill B. ↑,
80', Case J. M. ↓, Shirt C. ↑,
88', Sylvester L. ↓, Davies L. ↑,
90+8', Wright J. 🟥,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 14th in the Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 1.
Cambrian United has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ammanford is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cambrian United holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cambrian United has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:12 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cambrian United against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).
Wales
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Absalom K. (G) 
Bell C. 
Driscoll C. 
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