Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Amora		Esperança de Lagos

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.8	3.35	3.6
	1.62	3.55	4.7
	1.61	3.94	5.38
	1.68	3.6	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.58)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	4.55 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amora
54.4%

Draw
25.5%

Esperança de Lagos
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.2%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

20.8%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Esperança de Lagos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esperança de Lagos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	12%	24%

Amora - Esperança de Lagos Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Amora will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Esperança de Lagos will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amora: 45.2% – 82.8%.

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Preview

Amora in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Esperança de Lagos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Esperança de Lagos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Amora have a series of guest games.

Recently Esperança de Lagos have a series of home games.

Amora will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amora won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Amora won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amora FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Louletano - Amora	1:1 ✺
22.02.21	Moura - Amora	1:3 ✺
17.02.21	Mineiro Aljustrelense - Amora	0:1 ✺
11.02.21	Juventude de Évora - Amora	1:4 ✺
07.02.21	Lusitano GC - Amora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWW
- Esperança de Lagos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Esperança de Lagos - Moura	1:1 ✺
24.02.21	Esperança de Lagos - Louletano	1:2 ✺
21.02.21	Esperança de Lagos - Moncarapachense	3:3 ✺
14.02.21	Juventude de Évora - Esperança de Lagos	2:3 ✺
05.02.21	Esperança de Lagos - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.11.20	Esperança de Lagos - Amora	2:3
12.01.20	Esperança de Lagos - Amora	1:1

Amora - Esperança de Lagos