The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amorebieta 41.6%
Draw 29.8%
Ourense CF 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
24.1%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
23.4%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.
Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amorebieta - Ourense CF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Markitos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Amorebieta has faced a series of away games on the road.
Amorebieta is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Amorebieta has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:0 (averaging 2.5:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Amorebieta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.