The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BVV Barendrecht 36.8%
Draw 23.9%
Amsterdamsche FC 39.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.6%
24.9%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
25.1%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BVV Barendrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Amsterdamsche FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
BVV Barendrecht - Amsterdamsche FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 3. de Graaf T. 7. Monster D. (C) 15. Rook K. 24. Ouali R. 10. Fortes E. 11. Serghini A. 21. Mrowicki O. 9. Vugts B. 23. Hooreman F.
1. van Zetten G. (G) 20. Elstak M. 24. Lee I. 40. van der Graaf L. 55. Letschert T. (C) 5. Claver C. 18. Bensabouh A. 16. de Mooij S. 14. Klopper M. 9. van der Linden F. 11. Fonseca R.
Substitutes
26. Bakour M. 6. Bayram T. 16. El Mahdioui M. 5. Jouhri N. 30. Keehnen N. (G) 17. Kieboom J. 4. Knol V.
28. de Jager G. 4. Ederveen S. 13. Hovenkamp T. 30. Kroll B. (G) 3. Markiet G. 23. Nsingi J. 26. Oostwoud C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Serghini A. ⚽, Fortes E. (A),
15', Mrowicki O. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Hooreman F. ⚽,
41', Fortes E. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Bensabouh A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fortes E. ↓, Bayram T. ↑,
51', 🟨,
52', Fonseca R. 🟨,
56', Claver C. 🟨,
56', Hooreman F. 🟨,
60', Bayram T. 🟨,
62', van der Linden F. ↓, Hovenkamp T. ↑,
62', de Mooij S. ↓, de Jager G. ↑,
62', Elstak M. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
63', Mrowicki O. ↓, Bakour M. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Bakour M. ⚽, Serghini A. (A),
71', Lee I. ↓, Ederveen S. ↑,
71', Monster D. ↓, Jouhri N. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Serghini A. ⚽, Rook K. (A),
78', Bensabouh A. ↓, Markiet G. ↑,
83', Serghini A. ↓, Kieboom J. ↑,
83', Hooreman F. ↓, El Mahdioui M. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barendrecht won 1.
Barendrecht is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by AFC have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Barendrecht has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Barendrecht has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:24 (averaging 1.1:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barendrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1.4:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Barendrecht
11
6
2
3
20:17
3
20
13
AFC
11
4
1
6
15:19
-4
13
Last Results with these Odds
Amsterdamsche FC - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.