Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao) (Natal)


	ABC		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.27	3.25	2.26
	2.51	3.01	2.90	Watch
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.24	2.92	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	2.31 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
30.1%

Draw
30%

Sport Recife
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ABC - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Alves (G) 19. Brunao 17. Bruno Leite 5. Edson (C) 16. Jefferson Vinicius 7. Jhosefer 2. Lucas Marques 4. Lucas Souza 22. Randerson 11. Wallyson 3. Wellington Carvalho	26. Thiago Couto (G) 68. Augusto 6. Biel Fonseca 25. Clayson 65. Dede 10. de Pena Carlos 28. Habraao 31. Marlon Douglas 66. Rafinha 4. Ze Marcos 99. Ze Roberto (C)
Substitutes
23. Cayo Tenorio 20. de Sousa Oliveira T. 6. Dudu Mandai 28. Emanuel Junio 8. Geilson 10. Joao Pedro 21. Lima 18. Luiz Fernando 27. Mateus Bernardo 26. Mauricio Schneider 12. Rodolfo Castro (G)	54. Adriel 73. Caio Moura 96. Edson Lucas 67. Felipinho 11. Gustavo Maia 1. Halls (G) 71. Lipao 8. Max Alves 77. Micael 63. Patrick 48. Pedro Martins 88. Ruan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', de Pena Carlos 🟨,
17', Lucas Marques 🟨,
20', Augusto 🟨,
37', Jefferson Vinicius 🟨,
38', Ze Roberto 🟨,
45+2', Brunao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Brunao 🟥,
54', Lucas Souza 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Biel Fonseca ⚽,
62', Jefferson Vinicius ↓, Dudu Mandai ↑,
62', Bruno Leite ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
62', Ze Marcos ↓, Patrick ↑,
63', de Pena Carlos ↓, Max Alves ↑,
70', Randerson ↓, Lima ↑,
74', Ze Roberto ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
74', Clayson ↓, Lipao ↑,
83', Augusto ↓, Adriel ↑,
86', Wallyson 🟨,
87', Lucas Marques ↓, Cayo Tenorio ↑,
87', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Emanuel Junio ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ABC won 0.

ABC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recife is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recife might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, ABC won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, ABC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Ceará - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
21.03.26	ABC - América RN	1:2 penalties ✺
18.03.26	América RN - ABC	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	ABC - QFC	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	QFC - ABC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTWW
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.26	Sport Recife - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Cuiabá - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Sport Recife - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Sport Recife - Anápolis	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
08.03.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.24	ABC - Sport Recife	0:2
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.23	ABC - Sport Recife	0:1
28.05.23	Sport Recife - ABC	4:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.03.23	Sport Recife - ABC	1:0
21.01.23	Sport Recife - ABC	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.13	ABC - Sport Recife	4:2
28.05.13	Sport Recife - ABC	1:0

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