Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 4

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Imperatriz de Desportos		ABC

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.98	Watch
	3.59	3.2	2.05
	15.86	7.51	1.14	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.45	3.45	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (2.89)	3.94 ↑ (3.01)	1.86 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imperatriz de Desportos
18.6%

Draw
26.1%

ABC
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

30.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

30.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imperatriz de Desportos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imperatriz de Desportos's form might have worsened.

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ABC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imperatriz de Desportos than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imperatriz de Desportos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ABC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Imperatriz de Desportos - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Imperatriz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). ABC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wellington (G) 17. Anderson Brito 3. Caio Sena 20. Doda Silva 5. Fabricio Bigobel 15. Felipe Macena (C) 9. Joel Araujo 10. Rian 13. Ronny Taperacu 26. Trucco M. 6. Wyldson	1. Matheus Alves (G) 99. Brunao 6. Dudu Mandai 8. Geilson 9. Igor Bahia 10. Joao Pedro 15. Jonathan 2. Lucas Marques 4. Lucas Souza 18. Luiz Fernando 3. Wellington Carvalho (C)
Substitutes
4. Artur Potiguar 16. David Lopes 22. Doda 18. Fidel 14. Gleidson 25. Ivan 8. Joao Victor 12. Junior Conceicao (G) 7. Palominha 11. Pedro Sena 19. Sabia M. 2. Vivico	17. Bruno Leite 23. Cayo Tenorio 20. de Sousa Oliveira T. 28. Esquerdinha E. 13. Joao Victor 21. Lima 16. Mauricio Schneider 22. Randerson 12. Rodolfo Castro (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Brunao ⚽,
6', Fabricio Bigobel 🟨,
9', 0 - 2, Bruno Leite ⚽,
12', 1 - 2, Joel Araujo ⚽,
25', Lucas Souza 🟨,
33', Fabricio Bigobel 🟨,
41', Felipe Macena ↓, Gleidson ↑,
45', 1 - 3, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Trucco M. ↓, Vivico ↑,
46', Joel Araujo ↓, Palominha ↑,
46', Rian ↓, Sabia M. ↑,
54', Geilson 🟨,
69', Wyldson ↓, David Lopes ↑,
70', Gleidson 🟨,
71', Joao Pedro ↓, Lima ↑,
72', Anderson Brito 🟨,
72', Geilson ↓, Randerson ↑,
74', 🟨,
75', Wellington Carvalho 🟨,
82', Luiz Fernando ↓, de Sousa Oliveira T. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imperatriz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Imperatriz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

ABC - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.42%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imperatriz de Desportos
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Oratório	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
05.04.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Fortaleza - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTLL
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	ABC - Laguna	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.04.26	América RN - ABC	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Maguary - ABC	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	ABC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Ceará - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.03.20	Imperatriz de Desportos - ABC	3:4
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.19	Imperatriz de Desportos - ABC	1:0
08.06.19	ABC - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:3
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.16	Imperatriz de Desportos - ABC	3:2
24.02.16	ABC - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:1

Imperatriz de Desportos - ABC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide