Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena das Dunas (Natal)


	América RN		São Luiz

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.05	2.95	3.5
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.09	3.06	4
	2.02	3.06	4
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	2.04	3.24	3.76
	2.08	3.1	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)	3.1 ↓ (3.38)	3.73 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
45.3%

Draw
29.8%

São Luiz
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.1%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América RN, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

América RN - São Luiz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

América RN is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São Luiz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

São Luiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

América RN will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches América RN won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
10.03.24	Baraúnas - América RN	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.24	Juazeirense - América RN	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
03.03.24	América RN - ABC	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.24	América RN - Treze	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
25.02.24	América RN - Baraúnas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWTW
- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.03.24	Internacional RS - São Luiz	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	São Luiz - Santa Cruz-RS	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Recopa Gaucho
28.02.24	São Luiz - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	São Luiz - Ituano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
05.02.20	São Luiz - América RN	0:0

América RN - São Luiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide