Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio 19 de Outubro (Ijuí)


	São Luiz		Ituano

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.25	3.2	2.85
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.23	3.2	3.04
	2.2	3.31	3.29
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.32	3.25	3.07
	2.15	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.98)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.08 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Luiz
41.7%

Draw
28.4%

Ituano
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.9%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

27.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Luiz's performance.

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ituano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Luiz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

São Luiz - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Luiz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In case of a draw away team advances.

Recent matches São Luiz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ituano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Luiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
17.02.24	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
13.02.24	São Luiz - Juventude	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Grêmio - São Luiz	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	São Luiz - Brasil de Pelotas	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTTL
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.02.24	Ponte Preta - Ituano	1:1 ✺
14.02.24	Ituano - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Água Santa - Ituano	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Palmeiras - Ituano	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ituano - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLT

São Luiz - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide