Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 11

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio 19 de Outubro (Ijuí)


	São Luiz		Santa Cruz-RS

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	9	Watch
	1.25	5.25	11
	1.25	5.5	11
	1.31	5.02	8.77
	1.64	3.72	5.02	Watch
	1.23	5.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.65)	5.03 ↑ (3.75)	9.3 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Luiz
71.3%

Draw
18.6%

Santa Cruz-RS
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Luiz's performance.

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz-RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Luiz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz-RS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Luiz - Santa Cruz RS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raul (G) 24. Borasi B. 3. Bruno Jesus 10. Diogo Sodre 25. Gabriel Davis 21. Gabriel Pereira 7. Guilherme Dal Pian 2. Joao Vitor 6. Marcio Duarte 14. Ricardo Thalheimer 19. Yan Philippe	1. Alexandre Villa (G) 5. Amaral 6. David Luis 9. Netto 7. Pablo Bueno 2. Paul 8. Rafael Mineiro 3. Tairone 11. Tcharles 4. Thiago Sales 10. William Bartholdy
Substitutes
13. Douglas Dias 17. Felipe Baiano 4. Felix 9. Gabriel Morbeck 22. Gustavinho 20. Leandro Cordova 12. Luiz Felipe (G) 23. Luquinha 18. Ramires 16. Ricardo Liell 11. Vini Peixoto 15. Wesley Junio	22. Arthur G. F. 14. Jean Lucca 15. Leo Aquino 13. Rickelmy 12. Ruan (G)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 2).

Santa Cruz-RS is Relegated to Gaucho 2

Recent matches São Luiz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz-RS is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Luiz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently São Luiz have a series of home games.

In this match São Luiz is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Recopa Gaucho
28.02.24	São Luiz - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	São Luiz - Ituano	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
17.02.24	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
13.02.24	São Luiz - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWTT
- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
26.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Grêmio - Santa Cruz-RS	6:2 ✺
14.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Avenida	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Caxias - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Internacional RS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Upcoming Matches