Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 26 April 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Estrela d'Alva (Bage)
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 |
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Guarany de Bagé |
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São Luiz |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.23 |
2.9 |
3.46 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.85 |
3.50 |
 Watch |
 |
2.2 |
2.75 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.21 |
2.77 |
3.47 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.22) |
2.82 ↑
(2.79) |
3.42 ↓
(3.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guarany de Bagé
41% | Draw
32.3% | São Luiz
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Bruno Cardoso (Own goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2.Guarany de Bagé has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).São Luiz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).São Luiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Guarany de Bagé has had a series of away games. Guarany de Bagé is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).Including home matches between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 13.07.25 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 2:1 | | 03.05.25 | São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho | | | 23.02.25 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 0:2 | | 20.02.25 | São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé | 0:1 | | 15.02.25 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 0:1 | | 24.02.24 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 1:0 | | 12.02.22 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 2:2 |
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