The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Anápolis 22.6%
Draw 31.5%
Vila Nova 45.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
31.7%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
31.8%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Anápolis - Vila Nova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Henrique (G) 8. Gharib 27. Gustavo Henrique 14. Igor Souza 41. Joao Borim 16. Julio Cesar 6. Leonan 25. Lucas Mila 7. Matheus Lagoa 4. Rafael Costa 19. Vinicius Spaniol
1. Airton (G) 7. Andre Luis 49. Dellatorre 2. Elias 70. Emerson Urso 5. Joao Vieira 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 23. Pedro Romano 3. Tiago Pagnussat 13. Willian Formiga 8. Willian Maranhao
Substitutes
26. Cadu 21. Douglas 11. Fernandinho 20. Gabriel Cipriano 9. Gonzalo Fornari 30. Helder 13. Kauan Martins 18. Luciano 33. Marcao 10. Nene Bonilha 15. Vinicius Lucas 31. Ygor (G)
14. Carlao 29. Dalberson (G) 21. Dodo 18. Enzo 20. Gil 6. Higor 99. Janderson 15. Marco Antonio 9. Rafa Silva 11. Ryan 4. Weverton
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Pedro Romano 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Joao Vieira (Penalty Awarded),
33', Emerson Urso 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Leonan 🟨,
57', Dellatorre 🟨,
61', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
61', Vinicius Spaniol ↓, Gonzalo Fornari ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Joao Vieira ⚽,
71', Emerson Urso ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
72', Matheus Lagoa ↓, Gabriel Cipriano ↑,
83', Gharib ↓, Vinicius Lucas ↑,
83', Joao Borim ↓, Nene Bonilha ↑,
84', Elias ↓, Weverton ↑,
87', Andre Luis ↓, Ryan ↑,
87', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Dodo ↑,
87', Dellatorre ↓, Janderson ↑,
Preview
First leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anápolis won 2.
Anápolis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vila Nova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Vila Nova is considered a favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Anápolis won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Anápolis won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).