Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Anaitasuna		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.42	2.99	2.09
	3.67	3.04	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (4)	3.01 ↓ (3.07)	2.02 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anaitasuna
25.3%

Draw
30%

Portugalete
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

29.3%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

28.6%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anaitasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Anaitasuna is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portugalete is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Portugalete is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anaitasuna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Anaitasuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Anaitasuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
10.02.24	Derio - Anaitasuna	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Urduliz - Anaitasuna	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Anaitasuna - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Anaitasuna - Basconia	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Añorga - Anaitasuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWTL
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.02.24	Portugalete - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Basconia - Portugalete	2:4 ✺
28.01.24	Portugalete - Añorga	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Portugalete - Alavés C	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Deusto - Portugalete	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.10.23	Portugalete - Anaitasuna	1:1
22.01.23	Portugalete - Anaitasuna	0:0
17.09.22	Anaitasuna - Portugalete	1:0
09.01.22	Portugalete - Anaitasuna	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	Portugalete - Anaitasuna	3:1

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