Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio del Conero (Ancona)


	Ancona		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	8	4.6	1.32
	8	4.6	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8 (8)	4.6 (4.6)	1.32 (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
11.4%

Draw
19.8%

Sambenedettese
68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

19%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ancona have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sambenedettese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Martiniello A. (Pen),
24', 1 - 1, Eusepi U. (Pen),
30', 1 - 2, Eusepi U. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 2, Martiniello A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Ancona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sambenedettese is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ancona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ancona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.03.25	Recanatese - Ancona	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ancona - Termoli	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Civitanovese - Ancona	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Sora - Ancona	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Chieti - Ancona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTT
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.03.25	Sambenedettese - Isernia	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Avezzano - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Roma City - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Sambenedettese - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
03.11.24	Sambenedettese - Ancona	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
30.04.17	Ancona - Sambenedettese	1:2
11.12.16	Sambenedettese - Ancona	0:1

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