Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 19Date: 11 January 2026, SundayLocation: Stadio del Conero (Ancona)
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Ancona |
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Termoli |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.47 |
3.65 |
6.5 |
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 |
1.45 |
3.81 |
7.05 |
 Watch |
 |
1.44 |
3.5 |
7 |
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 |
1.44 |
3.6 |
7.75 |
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 |
1.47 |
3.75 |
6.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(2.12) |
3.66 ↑
(3.35) |
6.96 ↑
(2.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Ancona
62.3% | Draw
24.7% | Termoli
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ancona's performance.Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Termoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-17.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ancona that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (+16.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Ancona - Termoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+6', 🟥,
- 90+8', 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 12).Ancona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Termoli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Termoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Ancona is considered a favorite.We predict that Ancona will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).Including home match between the teams, Ancona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Ancona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
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| 12 | Termoli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Termoli - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 30.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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