The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recanatese 21.8%
Draw 26.2%
Ancona 52%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
25.8%
51.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
25.8%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Recanatese - Ancona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
9', 0 - 1, Pecci C. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Cericola M. ⚽,
29', 0 - 3, Pecci C. ⚽,
32', 1 - 3, Pierfederici G. ⚽,
38', 1 - 4, Kouko D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 3.
In recent matches, Recanatese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ancona is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Ancona is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Recanatese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
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