Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ancona		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.78	3.5	4.33
	1.8	3.47	4.65
	1.78	3.47	4.65
	1.7	3.4	4.4
	1.73	3.5	4.58
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.34)	3.45 ↑ (3.08)	4.42 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
52.5%

Draw
26.7%

Sestri Levante
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

31.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ancona's performance.

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestri Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ancona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestri Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Ancona - Sestri Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ancona will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sestri Levante will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Perucchini F. (G) 70. Barnaba T. 4. Cella S. 27. Pasini N. 3. Martina A. 23. Clemente G. 33. Prezioso M. 99. Basso G. 28. Giampaolo D. 94. Saco C. 9. Spagnoli A. (C)	74. Raspa M. (G) 4. Pane M. 5. Oliana F. 33. Matteucci E. 27. Podda L. 6. Troiano L. 21. Sandri M. 8. Candiano M. 77. Parlanti G. 11. Omoregbe B. 7. Forte R.
Substitutes
19. Agyemang G. 24. D'Eramo M. 10. Energe A. 13. Marenco F. 5. Mondonico D. 90. Moretti F. 30. Pellizzari S. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G) 80. Vogiatzis V.	10. Andreis S. 22. Balducci P. (G) 94. Clemenza L. 20. Fossati D. 25. Regini V. 64. Sias F. (G) 72. Vaughn C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Omoregbe B. ⚽,
13', Omoregbe B. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
19', Troiano L. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Saco C. ⚽,
31', Saco C. 🟨,
38', Parlanti G. 🟨,
39', Cella S. 🟨,
42', Sandri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Troiano L. ↓, Clemenza L. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Spagnoli A. ⚽,
68', Martina A. ↓, Agyemang G. ↑,
70', Clemente G. 🟨,
74', 3 - 1, Agyemang G. ⚽,
77', Parlanti G. ↓, Raggio G. S. ↑,
78', Clemente G. ↓, Marenco F. ↑,
78', Giampaolo D. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
84', Sandri M. ↓, Andreis S. ↑,
84', Matteucci E. ↓, Regini V. ↑,
84', Prezioso M. 🟨,
86', Prezioso M. ↓, Vogiatzis V. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 14).

Ancona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sestri Levante is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sestri Levante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ancona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ancona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
07.04.24	Pontedera - Ancona	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Ancona - SPAL	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Recanatese - Ancona	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Ancona - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Perugia - Ancona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTL
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.24	Sestri Levante - Pineto	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Olbia - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Sestri Levante - Gubbio	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Fermana - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Sestri Levante - Recanatese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.12.23	Sestri Levante - Ancona	3:2

Ancona - Sestri Levante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide