Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 31

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Perugia		Ancona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.84	3.34	4.63
	1.84	3.34	4.64
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.75	3.34	4.47
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.52)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	4.43 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
51.9%

Draw
27.4%

Ancona
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

25.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ancona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Perugia - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Adamonis M. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 44. Lewis N. 6. Vulikic S. 7. Paz Y. 4. Iannoni E. 24. Torrasi E. 23. Lisi F. 28. Kouan C. 45. Sylla Y. 11. Seghetti A.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 34. Radicchio V. M. 27. Pasini N. 4. Cella S. 70. Barnaba T. 94. Saco C. 8. Gatto E. 3. Martina A. 10. Energe A. 90. Moretti F. 11. Cioffi A.
Substitutes
1. Abibi A. (G) 33. Agosti L. 5. Angella G. 14. Bezziccheri D. 71. Bozzolan A. 21. Cudrig N. 86. Giunti G. 10. Matos 20. Ricci F. 91. Souare M. 9. Vazquez F. 96. Viti M. 58. Yimga D. R.	19. Agyemang G. 93. Basso G. 23. Clemente G. 24. D'Eramo M. 28. Giampaolo D. 13. Marenco F. 1. Perri D. (G) 33. Prezioso M. 12. Vitali L. (G) 80. Vogiatzis V.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 15).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.24	Virtus Entella - Perugia	5:0 ✺
02.03.24	Perugia - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Perugia - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Sassari Torres - Perugia	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Perugia - Fermana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
05.03.24	Ancona - Fermana	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Arezzo - Ancona	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ancona - Rimini	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Ancona - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Ancona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.23	Ancona - Perugia	2:1

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