The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Angel City 58.8%
Draw 22%
Bay FC 19.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.7%
23.1%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
21.2%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Angel City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angel City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Angel City - Bay FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Anderson A. (G) 3. KIng S. 6. Sams E. 11. Gorden S. (C) 15. Shores E. 20. Thompson G. 8. Ary Borges 16. Lageyre C. 99. Suarez T. 17. Sentnor A. 32. Jonsdottir S.
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 16. Collins S. (C) 2. Gilchrist H. 21. Cometti A. 31. Nighswonger J. 19. Bailey D. 41. Bebar H. 23. Conti C. 47. Fuller K. 30. Holzheier A. 5. Lema K.
Substitutes
4. Cherry K. 10. Emslie C. 40. Immethun J. 2. Leroux S. 12. Maiara Niehues 14. Martin N. 25. Mattice S. 13. Seabert H. G. (G) 33. Tiernan R.
32. Allen E. (G) 10. Girelli C. 11. Hubly K. 4. Menges E. 1. Miller C. (G) 24. Moreau M.
Coaches
Smerud L. G.
Coates E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', KIng S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', KIng S. ↓, Maiara Niehues ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Thompson G. ⚽, Maiara Niehues (A),
52', Lageyre C. 🟨,
55', Lageyre C. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
58', Holzheier A. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
67', Moreau M. 🟨,
71', Conti C. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
77', Suarez T. ↓, Emslie C. ↑,
78', Sentnor A. ↓, Tiernan R. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Tiernan R. ⚽, Martin N. (A),
88', Jonsdottir S. ↓, Immethun J. ↑,
90', Cometti A. ↓, Hubly K. ↑,
90', Fuller K. ↓, Menges E. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th in the Promotion - NWSL Women Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Angel City won 3.
Angel City has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Bay have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Angel City has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Angel City is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Angel City in today's match, at odds of 1.69.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Angel City has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Angel City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).