Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)


	Angers		Clermont

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.38	3.35	3
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.38	3.38	3.26
	2.3	3.2	3.2
	2.33	3.26	3.18	Watch
	2.34	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.45)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	3.15 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angers
41%

Draw
28.8%

Clermont
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	37.5%	47.5%

Angers - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Angers will win (votes: 6 - 15%). Clermont will win (votes: 19 - 47.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 32% – 63%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Angers has the most likely position - 20 (35.53%), has project points - 30, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (80%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Clermont has the most likely position - 11 (12.57%), has project points - 48, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 53, small importance 24, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Angers won 1.

Angers is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Clermont is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Angers will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Angers: Amadou I. (Injury) Chetti I. (Injury) Diony L. (Knee Injury) Eneme-Ella U. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Injury) Kalla A. (Knee Injury) Ould Khaled Z. (Thigh Injury) Sabanovic H. (Injury) Valery Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Clermont: Bela J. (Injury) Cisse S. (Injury) Gonalons M. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Angers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Angers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angers SCO
French Ligue 1
11.01.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Angers	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
06.01.23	Strasbourg - Angers	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
01.01.23	Angers - Lorient	1:2 ✺
28.12.22	Ajaccio - Angers	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Angers - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLT
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
11.01.23	Clermont - Rennes	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Olympique Strasbourg Koenigshoffen - Clermont	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
01.01.23	Lyon - Clermont	0:1 ✺
28.12.22	Clermont - Lille	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.12.22	Clermont - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
24.04.22	Clermont - Angers	2:2
12.12.21	Angers - Clermont	0:1
French Ligue 2
03.04.15	Clermont - Angers	2:0
24.10.14	Angers - Clermont	3:0
18.04.14	Clermont - Angers	1:1
22.11.13	Angers - Clermont	0:2
11.01.13	Angers - Clermont	1:2

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