Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	15:00	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
France	15:00	Amazon Prime Video
Portugal	14:00	Eleven Sports 6
Slovakia	15:00	Voyo
United Kingdom	14:00	TNT Sports


	Clermont		Lille

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.5	1.83
	4.25	3.55	1.85	Watch
	4.71	3.58	1.89
	4.71	3.58	1.85
	4.2	3.6	1.8
	4.4	3.62	1.85	Watch
	4.6	3.65	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.74)	3.57 ↑ (3.39)	1.84 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
21.2%

Draw
26.8%

Lille
52%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

28.2%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	12.1%	69.7%

Clermont - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). Lille will win (votes: 23 - 69.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 54% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (C) 2. Zeffane M. 36. Seidu A. 17. Pelmard A. 11. Allevinah J. 6. Keita H. 25. Gastien J. 3. Neto Borges 10. Muhammed Cham 18. Rashani E. 95. Kyei G.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 22. Santos T. 15. Yoro L. 4. Alexsandro 5. Gudmundsson G. 6. Bentaleb N. 21. Andre B. (C) 23. Zhegrova E. 8. Gomes A. 10. Cabella R. 9. David J.
Substitutes
9. Andric K. 22. Armougom Y. 13. Baallal A. 91. Bela J. 8. Boutobba B. 7. Magnin Y. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 23. Nicholson S. 27. Sylla M.	32. Bouaddi A. 18. Diakite B. 7. Haraldsson H. 31. Ismaily 16. Jakubech A. (G) 20. Miramon I. 60. Olmeta L. (G) 14. Umtiti S. 12. Yazici Y.
Coaches
Gastien P.	Fonseca P.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Clermont is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lille is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lille is a favorite.

There will not play in Clermont: Berkani S. (Injury) Gonalons M. (Yellow Cards) Konate C. O. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Lille: Djalo T. (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
03.12.23	Brest - Clermont	3:0 ✺
29.11.23	Montpellier - Clermont	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Clermont - Lens	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Clermont - Lorient	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Strasbourg - Clermont	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLWT
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
03.12.23	Lille - Metz	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.11.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Lille	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
26.11.23	Lyon - Lille	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Lille - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Slovan Bratislava - Lille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.02.23	Lille - Clermont	0:0
28.12.22	Clermont - Lille	0:2
06.03.22	Lille - Clermont	4:0
16.10.21	Clermont - Lille	1:0

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