Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 2

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio 11 de Novembro (Luanda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Angola	TPA 1, TPA
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Laos	beIN Connect
Malawi	MBC
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol


	Angola		Malawi

	1	X	2
	1.37	3.90	8.00
	1.38	4.00	10.00
	1.36	4.3	11.55
	1.42	3.92	9	Watch
	1.34	4.1	11
	1.37	4.39	9.1	Watch
	1.34	4.1	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)	4.1 (4.1)	9.66 ↓ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angola
67.8%

Draw
22.6%

Malawi
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

22.6%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Malawi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Angola - Malawi Predictions

Users Predictions: Angola will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marques H. (G) Petro Atletico 4. Sambu M. Dender 6. Gaspar K. Lecce 3. Buatu J. Gil Vicente 13. Pedro Bondo Famalicao 23. Show Kocaelispor 20. Keliano M. Akhmat Grozny 16. Carmo D. Olympiacos Piraeus 11. Milson Al Jazira 18. Luvumbo Z. Mallorca 19. Mabululu (C) Wiliete	16. Thole W. (G) 2. Lameck M. Silver Strikers 3. Petro C. (C) FC Botosani 5. Chembezi D. Al Qassim 22. Nyirenda E. Mighty Wanderers FC 8. Njaliwa L. Costa do Sol 6. Blessings S. Mighty Wanderers FC 15. Chirwa G. Ngezi Platinum 17. Chirwa G. Mighty Wanderers FC 18. Adepoju B. Costa do Sol 13. Mwaungulu P. Mazembe
Substitutes
2. Abel A. Sagrada 8. Balburdia M. Petro Atletico 10. Banza C. Zamalek 17. Depu Petro Atletico 14. Fernando Primeiro de Agosto 7. Gilberto Wiliete 21. Hossi A. Petro Atletico 5. Kinito Petro Atletico 15. Miro Dynamo Makhachkala 22. Neblu (G) Primeiro de Agosto 12. Rui (G) Interclube 9. Zini AEK	1. Chikooka G. (G) Silver Strikers 21. Duwe F. Silver Strikers 7. Gumbo C. Big Bullets 19. Kaduya A. Silver Strikers 24. Kondowe E. Big Bullets 11. Madinga F. Mighty Wanderers FC 20. Malango M. Sacramento Republic 9. Mbulu R. UD Songo 4. Mpokera B. Big Bullets 14. Saizi R. Zanaco 23. Sande W. (G) 12. Singo Y. Big Bullets
Coaches
Cisse A.	Pasuwa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Milson ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
6', Lameck M. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Mabululu ⚽, Pedro Bondo (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Gaspar K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Blessings S. ↓, Singo Y. ↑,
46', Lameck M. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
68', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Zini ↑,
68', Mabululu ↓, Miro ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Miro ⚽, Pedro Bondo (A),
76', Show ↓, Balburdia M. ↑,
78', Chirwa G. ↓, Madinga F. ↑,
78', Mwaungulu P. ↓, Mbulu R. ↑,
84', Pedro Bondo ↓, Fernando ↑,
84', Milson ↓, Gilberto ↑,

Preview

Angola is ranked FIFA: 87., and Malawi is ranked FIFA: 129..

The betting markets point to Angola as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Angola has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.3:0.8 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angola
Africa Cup of Nations
25.09.26	Egypt - Angola	0:0 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Angola - Central Africa	3:0 ✺
05.06.26	Angola - Mauritania	1:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
29.12.25	Angola - Egypt	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Angola - Zimbabwe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWTTT
- Malawi
Africa Cup of Nations
25.09.26	Malawi - South Sudan	2:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Ethiopia - Malawi	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ethiopia - Malawi	1:0 ✺
31.03.26	Botswana - Malawi	1:0 ✺
18.11.25	Lesotho - Malawi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
10.06.25	Malawi - Angola	0:1
01.06.18	Angola - Malawi	0:0
29.06.17	Malawi - Angola	0:0
12.06.16	Malawi - Angola	3:0

Angola - Malawi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide