Match Info

1. Lig - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Ankaragücü		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.22	3.13	Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.25	3.16	3.11
	2.3	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.07)	3.19 ↓ (3.33)	3.01 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
40.2%

Draw
29%

Gençlerbirliği
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ersu E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 24. Aktas O. 88. Celik O. 26. Schulz N. 23. Guneren A. K. 5. Coelho D. 11. Dalcio 29. Cephas R. 94. Laura G. 7. Owusu	18. Erenturk E. (G) 24. Babacan A. 90. Osmanoglu S. 15. Zuzek Z. 23. Hanousek M. 16. Kabak A. 89. Amilton 10. Joca 14. Nalepa M. 7. Mimaroglu M. 99. Leo Gaucho
Substitutes
19. Astanakulov S. 9. Bajic R. 91. Cihan G. (G) 16. Cokcalis I. 40. Gultekin Y. 30. Kesik M. 3. Pehlivan I. 10. Rakoczy M. 21. Tekdemir M. 6. Turkmen C.	19. Altiparmak G. 12. Berber O. 6. Cagiran B. 5. Etebo P. 25. Islamoglu U. 20. Okyar M. 8. Onur S. 13. Ozdemir O. (G) 9. Popa D. 88. Uzum F.
Coaches
Dalci M.	Eroglu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Nalepa M. ⚽, Mimaroglu M. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Mimaroglu M. ⚽, Babacan A. (A),
33', Dalcio 🟨,
39', 0 - 3, Leo Gaucho ⚽, Mimaroglu M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guneren A. K. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
46', Laura G. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
60', Babacan A. ↓, Uzum F. ↑,
69', Dalcio ↓, Tekdemir M. ↑,
69', Leo Gaucho ↓, Popa D. ↑,
69', Cephas R. ↓, Astanakulov S. ↑,
69', Amilton ↓, Onur S. ↑,
80', Nalepa M. ↓, Cagiran B. ↑,
81', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Okyar M. ↑,
81', Celik O. ↓, Gultekin Y. ↑,
89', Aktas O. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 3.

Ankaragücü is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gençlerbirliği is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ankaragücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Ankaragücü: Cetin M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Hamstring Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
31.03.25	Erokspor - Ankaragücü	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ankaragücü - Igdirspor	0:4 ✺
10.03.25	Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Ankaragücü - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Adanaspor - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTWL
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
28.03.25	Gençlerbirliği - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	İstanbulspor - Gençlerbirliği	5:0 ✺
09.03.25	Gençlerbirliği - Çorum	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Amed SK - Gençlerbirliği	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Gençlerbirliği - Manisa FK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.11.24	Gençlerbirliği - Ankaragücü	1:0
Club Friendly
29.07.22	Gençlerbirliği - Ankaragücü	0:3
Turkish First League
06.02.22	Gençlerbirliği - Ankaragücü	0:3
12.09.21	Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği	2:0
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği	0:0
Turkish Super League
11.04.21	Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği	2:1
20.12.20	Gençlerbirliği - Ankaragücü	1:1

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