The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ankaragücü 52.3%
Draw 26.8%
Gaziantep 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
26.4%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
26%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankaragücü's performance.
Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gaziantep might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankaragücü that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gaziantep could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Ankaragücü - Gaziantep Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ankaragücü: 55.2% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Gungordu B. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 35. Karatas K. 23. Guneren A. K. 30. Cigerci T. 80. Morutan O. 10. Bekiroglu E. 13. Bassogog C. 22. Sowe A.
33. Nita F. (G) 18. Sorescu D. 4. Kizildag A. 63. N'Koulou N. 22. M'Bakata S. 8. Jevtovic M. 11. Eskihellac M. 61. Ozcicek O. 44. Maxim A. 10. Gradel M. 70. Dragus D.
Substitutes
4. Cankaya A. R. 29. Cephas R. 45. Cetin M. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 19. Flips A. 32. Macheda F. 25. Ozbir E. (G) 8. Pedrinho 17. Saponara R. 27. Unyay A.
27. Artan O. 7. Badji A. 12. Bikel J. 1. Bozan M. (G) 3. Djilobodji P. 15. Ersoy E. 93. Kuzucu M. 50. Markovic L. 23. Monteiro J. 5. Soyalp F.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.
Inan S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Jevtovic M. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Bekiroglu E. ⚽, Morutan O. (A),
38', Mujakic N. 🟨,
38', Dragus D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Sowe A. ⚽, Bekiroglu E. (A),
67', Ozcicek O. ↓, Artan O. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Bekiroglu E. ⚽,
75', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
75', Bassogog C. ↓, Chatzigiovanis A. ↑,
79', Eskihellac M. ↓, Soyalp F. ↑,
79', Maxim A. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
79', Jevtovic M. ↓, Bikel J. ↑,
82', Guneren A. K. ↓, Flips A. ↑,
83', Sowe A. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
90+3', Morutan O. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 1.
Recent matches Ankaragücü is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gaziantep BB is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Ankaragücü is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Ankaragücü won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Ankaragücü won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.