Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 20

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Annagh United		Dergview

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3
	2.02	3.44	3.09
	2.03	3.44	3.09
	1.99	3.62	3.1
	2.01	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.77)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	3.08 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annagh United
44.9%

Draw
25.8%

Dergview
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

20.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annagh United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Annagh United's form might have worsened.

Dergview has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annagh United than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Annagh won 3.

Recent matches Annagh is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dergview has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dergview could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Annagh is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Annagh won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Annagh won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annagh United
Northern Irish Championship
09.12.23	Institute FC - Annagh United	1:3 ✺
05.12.23	Annagh United - Institute FC	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Ballinamallard United - Annagh United	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Annagh United - Bangor	0:4 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
21.11.23	Annagh United - Loughgall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLL
- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
05.12.23	Dundela - Dergview	3:2 ✺
01.12.23	Dergview - Institute FC	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Knockbreda - Dergview	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Portadown - Dergview	4:1 ✺
04.11.23	Dergview - Ards	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.08.23	Dergview - Annagh United	0:1
11.02.23	Annagh United - Dergview	2:1
08.11.22	Annagh United - Dergview	3:0
29.10.22	Dergview - Annagh United	1:0
19.04.22	Dergview - Annagh United	0:0
12.11.21	Dergview - Annagh United	0:2
10.09.21	Annagh United - Dergview	3:1

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