Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 29

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Knockbreda		Dergview

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.78
	3.6	3.75	1.85
	3.51	3.77	1.79
	3.63	3.73	1.9
	3.5	3.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.14)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)	1.82 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knockbreda
25.8%

Draw
24.2%

Dergview
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.6%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knockbreda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Dergview has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dergview's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knockbreda than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Preview

Knockbreda is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Dergview is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Knockbreda won 1.

Knockbreda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dergview has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dergview could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dergview will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Knockbreda won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Knockbreda won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knockbreda FC
Northern Irish Championship
17.02.24	Ards - Knockbreda	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Knockbreda	6:1 ✺
27.01.24	Knockbreda - Annagh United	1:4 ✺
20.01.24	Knockbreda - Newington	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Knockbreda - Dundela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLLLL
- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
10.02.24	Dundela - Dergview	5:1 ✺
03.02.24	Dergview - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:5 ✺
27.01.24	Dergview - Bangor	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Portadown - Dergview	3:2 ✺
13.01.24	Dergview - Ballyclare Comrades	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
25.11.23	Knockbreda - Dergview	2:0
23.09.23	Dergview - Knockbreda	5:0
22.04.23	Knockbreda - Dergview	1:1
18.02.23	Knockbreda - Dergview	3:3
12.11.22	Dergview - Knockbreda	1:1
23.09.22	Dergview - Knockbreda	2:3
05.03.22	Dergview - Knockbreda	3:3

Knockbreda - Dergview: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide