Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 25

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)


	Portadown		Dergview

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.75
	1.35	5	7
	1.36	4.33	6.5
	1.3	5.25	7.32
	1.33	5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	4.87 ↑ (4.33)	6.87 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
68.1%

Draw
18.7%

Dergview
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

20.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Dergview has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Portadown - Dergview Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Portadown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dergview is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portadown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Portadown have a series of guest games.

In this match Portadown is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Portadown won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Portadown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish League Cup
16.01.24	Glenavon - Portadown	0:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
13.01.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:2 penalties ✺
Northern Irish Championship
26.12.23	Annagh United - Portadown	3:1 ✺
23.12.23	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWLL
- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
13.01.24	Dergview - Ballyclare Comrades	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Bangor - Dergview	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.23	Institute FC - Dergview	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Bangor - Dergview	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
11.11.23	Portadown - Dergview	4:1
05.08.23	Dergview - Portadown	2:3
29.12.18	Dergview - Portadown	1:2
20.12.17	Portadown - Dergview	7:0

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