Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Dergview		Ards

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	1.95
	3.11	3.53	2
	3.11	3.53	2
	2.6	3.9	2.05
	3.17	3.8	1.99
	3.05	3.7	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.77)	3.68 ↓ (3.79)	2 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dergview
30.1%

Draw
24.6%

Ards
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

24.4%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dergview has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Walsh M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Dougan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Hunter R. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dergview won 1.

Dergview has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ards is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dergview could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ards have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Dergview won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Dergview won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
16.04.24	Dergview - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Dergview	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Ards - Dergview	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Dergview - Ballyclare Comrades	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
20.04.24	Ballinamallard United - Ards	0:5 ✺
16.04.24	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Ards - Newington	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Ards - Dergview	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Ards - Portadown	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
23.03.24	Ards - Dergview	2:0
04.11.23	Dergview - Ards	0:3
16.09.23	Ards - Dergview	4:2
28.02.23	Dergview - Ards	2:1
25.02.23	Dergview - Ards	2:3
01.10.22	Ards - Dergview	5:2
26.02.22	Dergview - Ards	2:2

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