Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 26

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Annagh United		Newry City

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.52	4.27	4.59
	1.56	4.42	5.11	Watch
	1.47	4.25	5.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.35)	4.29 ↓ (4.75)	5.04 ↓ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annagh United
60.6%

Draw
21.3%

Newry City
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.1%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annagh United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Annagh United's form might have worsened.

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annagh United than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Annagh United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Annagh United - Newry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Annagh will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Newry City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Calvert K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
61', 3 - 0, Donnelly P. ⚽,
70', 4 - 0, Calvert K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annagh United
Northern Irish Championship
18.01.25	Newington - Annagh United	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Annagh United - Portadown	3:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.24	Annagh United - Bangor	4:3 ✺
26.12.24	Armagh City - Annagh United	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Ballinamallard United - Annagh United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWWLW
- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
17.01.25	Newry City - Bangor	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	4:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.24	Newry City - Armagh City	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
29.11.24	Newry City - Annagh United	0:2
14.09.24	Annagh United - Newry City	1:0
Club Friendly
20.07.23	Newry City - Annagh United	2:0
Northern Irish Championship
09.04.22	Annagh United - Newry City	1:1
25.02.22	Newry City - Annagh United	0:3
03.12.21	Newry City - Annagh United	2:0
01.10.21	Annagh United - Newry City	0:3

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